PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Chase Brown or Braelon Allen: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Chase Brown: CIN vs MIA, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Braelon Allen: NYJ vs CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START CHASE BROWN
Start Chase Brown over Braelon Allen in Week 5 (PPR): he outscores him in 57% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in half-PPR (55%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Chase Brown (p10 6.4). Need upside? Chase Brown (p85 25.4).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Chase Brown | 57% | RB11 | 14.8 | 6.4 | 25.4 |
| Braelon Allen | 43% | RB14 | 12.7 | 5.2 | 22.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Chase Brown | 55% | RB12 | 12.8 | 5.3 | 23.1 |
| Braelon Allen | 45% | RB15 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 21.3 | |
| Standard | Chase Brown | 52% | RB13 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 20.8 |
| Braelon Allen | 48% | RB16 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 19.9 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.