PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Braelon Allen or Saquon Barkley: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Braelon Allen: NYJ vs CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Saquon Barkley: PHI vs JAC, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET
START BRAELON ALLEN
Start Braelon Allen over Saquon Barkley in Week 5 (PPR): he outscores him in 58% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in half-PPR (57%) and standard (56%). Need a safe floor? Braelon Allen (p10 5.2). Need upside? Braelon Allen (p85 22.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Braelon Allen | 58% | RB14 | 12.7 | 5.2 | 22.8 |
| Saquon Barkley | 42% | RB19 | 10.7 | 4.6 | 18.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Braelon Allen | 57% | RB15 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 21.3 |
| Saquon Barkley | 43% | RB19 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 17.6 | |
| Standard | Braelon Allen | 56% | RB16 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 19.9 |
| Saquon Barkley | 44% | RB19 | 8.8 | 3.6 | 16.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.