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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Start/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB

Braelon Allen or Cam Skattebo: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?

· Braelon Allen: NYJ vs CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Cam Skattebo: NYG vs WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET

START BRAELON ALLENCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 5: Braelon Allen edges Cam Skattebo, outscoring him in 54.3% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (53%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Braelon Allen (p10 5.2). Need upside? Braelon Allen (p85 22.8).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRBraelon Allen54%RB1412.75.222.8
Cam Skattebo46%RB1711.54.420.9
Half-PPRBraelon Allen53%RB1511.54.521.3
Cam Skattebo47%RB1710.54.019.6
StandardBraelon Allen52%RB1610.23.719.9
Cam Skattebo48%RB179.63.418.5

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.