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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Start/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB

Ashton Jeanty or James Cook: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?

· Ashton Jeanty: LV vs NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · James Cook: BUF vs LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET

START ASHTON JEANTYCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 5: Ashton Jeanty edges James Cook, outscoring him in 52.8% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: James Cook (51%). Standard: James Cook (54%). Need a safe floor? James Cook (p10 6.7). Need upside? Ashton Jeanty (p85 26.4).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRAshton Jeanty53%RB1015.56.626.4
James Cook47%RB1214.56.725.0
Half-PPRAshton Jeanty49%RB1113.65.424.0
James Cook51%RB1013.66.324.0
StandardAshton Jeanty46%RB1211.74.121.8
James Cook54%RB1012.75.723.0

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.