PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Ashton Jeanty or Emanuel Wilson: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Ashton Jeanty: LV vs NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Emanuel Wilson: SEA vs SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
START ASHTON JEANTY
Start Ashton Jeanty over Emanuel Wilson in Week 5 (PPR): he outscores him in 57% of 10,000 simulated games. Half-PPR: Ashton Jeanty (53%). Standard: Emanuel Wilson (51%). Need a safe floor? Ashton Jeanty (p10 6.6). Need upside? Ashton Jeanty (p85 26.4).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Ashton Jeanty | 57% | RB10 | 15.5 | 6.6 | 26.4 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 43% | RB13 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 24.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Ashton Jeanty | 53% | RB11 | 13.6 | 5.4 | 24.0 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 47% | RB13 | 12.6 | 4.7 | 24.0 | |
| Standard | Ashton Jeanty | 49% | RB12 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 21.8 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 51% | RB11 | 11.9 | 4.3 | 23.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.