PropWeek 4 games › KC at LV
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders: Week 4 projections and props
Kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
The market implies 26.2 points for KC and 21.8 for LV. Our model projects Patrick Mahomes (KC vs LV) for a median 237 passing yards (FanDuel line 238.5; 10th-90th percentile 142-344) and 16 rushing yards (FanDuel line 15.5; 10th-90th percentile 1-43) in Week 4. Our model projects Ashton Jeanty (LV vs KC) for a median 53 rushing yards (FanDuel line 57.5; 10th-90th percentile 24-110) and 22 receiving yards (FanDuel line 19.5; 10th-90th percentile 3-58) in Week 4.
Kansas City Chiefs
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB7 | Patrick Mahomes | LV | 16.9 | 8.8 | 26.4 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 237 passing yards, 16 rushing yards |
| RB4 | Kenneth Walker III | LV | 16.8 | 7.3 | 29.3 | 18.4 | 15.3 | 75 rushing yards, 18 receiving yards |
| WR9 | Rashee Rice | LV | 11.6 | 3.9 | 22.4 | 14.5 | 8.8 | 64 receiving yards, 6 receptions |
| TE5 | Travis Kelce | LV | 8.4 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 46 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR45 | Xavier Worthy | LV | 5.6 | 1.9 | 11.8 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 27 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| WR75 | Tyquan Thornton (limited) | LV | 2.7 | 0.0 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 2.0 | |
| TE41 | Noah Gray (limited) | LV | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | |
| RB57 | Emmett Johnson | LV | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.5 | |
| RB89 | Brashard Smith (limited) | LV | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | |
| RB91 | Nate Carter (limited) | LV | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| WR142 | Jalen Royals (limited) | LV | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| RB106 | Jaydn Ott (limited) | LV | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Las Vegas Raiders
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB10 | Ashton Jeanty | KC | 14.4 | 5.9 | 25.3 | 16.5 | 12.4 | 53 rushing yards, 22 receiving yards |
| QB28 | Kirk Cousins | KC | 12.1 | 5.3 | 21.4 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 213 passing yards, 1 rushing yards |
| TE3 | Brock Bowers | KC | 8.9 | 2.9 | 17.8 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 50 receiving yards, 5 receptions |
| WR33 | Tre Tucker | KC | 6.5 | 1.6 | 13.9 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 41 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| TE18 | Michael Mayer | KC | 4.6 | 1.1 | 11.0 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 24 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| WR82 | Jalen Nailor | KC | 2.1 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 1.4 | |
| RB63 | Mike Washington Jr. | KC | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | |
| QB34 | Fernando Mendoza (backup) | KC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR112 | Cody White (limited) | KC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR114 | Ronnie Bell (limited) | KC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| RB107 | Roman Hemby (limited) | KC | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Both teams come from the same 10,000 simulations of this game, so player outcomes are correlated the way the game script makes them. Click a player for stat projections and prop lines.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All Week 4 games · Rankings · Props board