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Kansas City Chiefs Week 4 projections and player props
KC at LV · Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · game page · opponent: Las Vegas Raiders ·
The market implies 26.2 points for the Kansas City Chiefs and 21.8 for Las Vegas Raiders (median of 11 books). Our model projects Patrick Mahomes (KC vs LV) for a median 237 passing yards (FanDuel line 238.5; 10th-90th percentile 142-344) and 16 rushing yards (FanDuel line 15.5; 10th-90th percentile 1-43) in Week 4. Our model projects Kenneth Walker III (KC vs LV) for a median 75 rushing yards (FanDuel line 86.5; 10th-90th percentile 41-142) and 18 receiving yards (FanDuel line 20.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-54) in Week 4.
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB7 | Patrick Mahomes | LV | 16.9 | 8.8 | 26.4 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 237 passing yards, 16 rushing yards |
| RB4 | Kenneth Walker III | LV | 16.8 | 7.3 | 29.3 | 18.4 | 15.3 | 75 rushing yards, 18 receiving yards |
| WR9 | Rashee Rice | LV | 11.6 | 3.9 | 22.4 | 14.5 | 8.8 | 64 receiving yards, 6 receptions |
| TE5 | Travis Kelce | LV | 8.4 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 46 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR45 | Xavier Worthy | LV | 5.6 | 1.9 | 11.8 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 27 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| WR75 | Tyquan Thornton (limited) | LV | 2.7 | 0.0 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 2.0 | |
| TE41 | Noah Gray (limited) | LV | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | |
| RB57 | Emmett Johnson | LV | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.5 | |
| RB89 | Brashard Smith (limited) | LV | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | |
| RB91 | Nate Carter (limited) | LV | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| WR142 | Jalen Royals (limited) | LV | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| RB106 | Jaydn Ott (limited) | LV | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board