What is Brashard Smith's floor and ceiling in Week 4?

Half-PPR: floor 0.0, median 1.7, ceiling 6.9. PPR: 0.0 / 2.3 / 7.8. Standard: 0.0 / 1.1 / 6.2. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations.

Players › RB › KC

Should I start Brashard Smith in Week 4?

Week 4, 2026 · KC vs LV · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 1:30 AM ET

SIT Limited role

PropSims says sit Brashard Smith in Week 4 unless Kenneth Walker III is out: as a limited-role RB his median is 1.7 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 16% of our 10,000 simulations.

Scoring	Rank	Call	Median	Ceiling p85
PPR	RB66	Sit	2.3	7.8
Half-PPR	RB70	Sit	1.7	6.9
Standard	RB78	Sit	1.1	6.2

Game environment: KC market-implied team total 26.2 vs 21.8 for LV (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (1 games): 4% target share, 0% carry share, 8% snap rate (nflverse).

Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Najee Harris (RB68), Chris Brooks (RB69), Kimani Vidal (RB71), Jaydon Blue (RB72).

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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings