PropPlayers › WR › LV
Should I start Jalen Nailor in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · LV vs KC · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Jalen Nailor WR74 in half-PPR for Week 4 (LV vs KC): sit in a 12-team league. Median 3.0 points, floor 0.0 (p10), ceiling 7.5 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR73 (median 3.9). Standard: WR74 (median 2.1).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR73 | Sit | 3.9 | 0.0 | 9.0 |
| Half-PPR | WR74 | Sit | 3.0 | 0.0 | 7.5 |
| Standard | WR74 | Sit | 2.1 | 0.0 | 6.2 |
Game environment: LV market-implied team total 21.8 vs 26.2 for KC (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 13% target share, 0% carry share, 59% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Kayshon Boutte (WR72), Tez Johnson (WR73), Rashid Shaheed (WR75), Malachi Fields (WR76).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings