PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE
Tyler Warren or Tucker Kraft: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Tyler Warren: IND vs PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Tucker Kraft: GB vs CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 5: Tyler Warren edges Tucker Kraft, outscoring him in 52.8% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: Tyler Warren (51%). Standard: Tucker Kraft (52%). Need a safe floor? Tyler Warren (p10 4.3). Need upside? Tyler Warren (p85 20.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Tyler Warren | 53% | TE3 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 20.8 |
| Tucker Kraft | 47% | TE6 | 10.8 | 3.5 | 20.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Tyler Warren | 51% | TE4 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 16.5 |
| Tucker Kraft | 49% | TE6 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 16.8 | |
| Standard | Tyler Warren | 48% | TE7 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 12.3 |
| Tucker Kraft | 52% | TE4 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 13.5 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.