PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE
Tucker Kraft or Sam LaPorta: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Tucker Kraft: GB vs CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Sam LaPorta: DET vs ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
START TUCKER KRAFT
Start Tucker Kraft over Sam LaPorta in Week 5 (PPR): he outscores him in 55% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in half-PPR (55%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Tucker Kraft (p10 3.5). Need upside? Tucker Kraft (p85 20.4).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Tucker Kraft | 55% | TE6 | 10.8 | 3.5 | 20.4 |
| Sam LaPorta | 45% | TE7 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 19.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Tucker Kraft | 55% | TE6 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 16.8 |
| Sam LaPorta | 45% | TE7 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 16.1 | |
| Standard | Tucker Kraft | 54% | TE4 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 13.5 |
| Sam LaPorta | 46% | TE8 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 13.2 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.