PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE
Tucker Kraft or Dalton Kincaid: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Tucker Kraft: GB vs CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Dalton Kincaid: BUF vs LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
START TUCKER KRAFT
Start Tucker Kraft over Dalton Kincaid in Week 5 (PPR): he outscores him in 58% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in half-PPR (56%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Tucker Kraft (p10 3.5). Need upside? Tucker Kraft (p85 20.4).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Tucker Kraft | 58% | TE6 | 10.8 | 3.5 | 20.4 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 42% | TE9 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 18.6 | |
| Half-PPR | Tucker Kraft | 56% | TE6 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 16.8 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 44% | TE8 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 15.8 | |
| Standard | Tucker Kraft | 54% | TE4 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 13.5 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 46% | TE6 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 13.0 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.