PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE
Trey McBride or Tucker Kraft: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Trey McBride: ARI vs DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Tucker Kraft: GB vs CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START TREY MCBRIDE
Start Trey McBride over Tucker Kraft in Week 5 (PPR): he outscores him in 58% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in half-PPR (57%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Trey McBride (p10 4.9). Need upside? Trey McBride (p85 23.9).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Trey McBride | 58% | TE1 | 13.1 | 4.9 | 23.9 |
| Tucker Kraft | 42% | TE6 | 10.8 | 3.5 | 20.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Trey McBride | 57% | TE1 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 19.4 |
| Tucker Kraft | 43% | TE6 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 16.8 | |
| Standard | Trey McBride | 54% | TE1 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 15.2 |
| Tucker Kraft | 46% | TE4 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 13.5 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.