PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE
T.J. Hockenson or Sam LaPorta: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· T.J. Hockenson: MIN vs NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Sam LaPorta: DET vs ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
START T.J. HOCKENSON
Start T.J. Hockenson over Sam LaPorta in Week 5 (PPR): he outscores him in 58% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in half-PPR (57%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? T.J. Hockenson (p10 3.9). Need upside? T.J. Hockenson (p85 21.3).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | T.J. Hockenson | 58% | TE5 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 21.3 |
| Sam LaPorta | 42% | TE7 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 19.0 | |
| Half-PPR | T.J. Hockenson | 57% | TE5 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 17.3 |
| Sam LaPorta | 43% | TE7 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 16.1 | |
| Standard | T.J. Hockenson | 54% | TE5 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 13.4 |
| Sam LaPorta | 46% | TE8 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 13.2 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.