PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Saquon Barkley or Rhamondre Stevenson: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Saquon Barkley: PHI vs JAC, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET · Rhamondre Stevenson: NE vs LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 5: Saquon Barkley edges Rhamondre Stevenson, outscoring him in 50.0% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (52%) and standard (55%). Need a safe floor? Saquon Barkley (p10 4.6). Need upside? Rhamondre Stevenson (p85 19.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Saquon Barkley | 50% | RB19 | 10.7 | 4.6 | 18.8 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 50% | RB18 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 19.5 | |
| Half-PPR | Saquon Barkley | 52% | RB19 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 17.6 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 48% | RB21 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 17.6 | |
| Standard | Saquon Barkley | 55% | RB19 | 8.8 | 3.6 | 16.6 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 45% | RB25 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 15.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.