PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Saquon Barkley or Bucky Irving: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Saquon Barkley: PHI vs JAC, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET · Bucky Irving: TB vs DAL, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 5: Saquon Barkley edges Bucky Irving, outscoring him in 51.1% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: Saquon Barkley (51%). Standard: Bucky Irving (50%). Need a safe floor? Saquon Barkley (p10 4.6). Need upside? Bucky Irving (p85 19.6).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Saquon Barkley | 51% | RB19 | 10.7 | 4.6 | 18.8 |
| Bucky Irving | 49% | RB21 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 19.6 | |
| Half-PPR | Saquon Barkley | 51% | RB19 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 17.6 |
| Bucky Irving | 49% | RB18 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 18.7 | |
| Standard | Saquon Barkley | 50% | RB19 | 8.8 | 3.6 | 16.6 |
| Bucky Irving | 50% | RB18 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 17.7 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.