PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE
Sam LaPorta or Hunter Henry: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Sam LaPorta: DET vs ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Hunter Henry: NE vs LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START SAM LAPORTACOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Sam LaPorta edges Hunter Henry, outscoring him in 51.8% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (52%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Sam LaPorta (p10 2.5). Need upside? Sam LaPorta (p85 19.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Sam LaPorta | 52% | TE7 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 19.0 |
| Hunter Henry | 48% | TE10 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 18.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Sam LaPorta | 52% | TE7 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 16.1 |
| Hunter Henry | 48% | TE9 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 15.2 | |
| Standard | Sam LaPorta | 52% | TE8 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 13.2 |
| Hunter Henry | 48% | TE9 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 12.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.