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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Start/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB

Quinshon Judkins or Rhamondre Stevenson: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?

· Quinshon Judkins: CLE vs NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Rhamondre Stevenson: NE vs LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET

START RHAMONDRE STEVENSONCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 5: Rhamondre Stevenson edges Quinshon Judkins, outscoring him in 51.0% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: Quinshon Judkins (51%). Standard: Quinshon Judkins (52%). Need a safe floor? Rhamondre Stevenson (p10 3.9). Need upside? Quinshon Judkins (p85 19.5).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRQuinshon Judkins49%RB2010.53.819.5
Rhamondre Stevenson51%RB1810.83.919.5
Half-PPRQuinshon Judkins51%RB209.43.318.2
Rhamondre Stevenson49%RB219.33.217.6
StandardQuinshon Judkins52%RB208.42.717.0
Rhamondre Stevenson48%RB257.92.415.8

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.