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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Start/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR

Parker Washington or Matthew Golden: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?

· Parker Washington: JAC vs PHI, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET · Matthew Golden: GB vs CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET

START PARKER WASHINGTONCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 5: Parker Washington edges Matthew Golden, outscoring him in 52.2% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (52%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Parker Washington (p10 3.2). Need upside? Parker Washington (p85 21.4).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRParker Washington52%WR1910.73.221.4
Matthew Golden48%WR2310.23.219.8
Half-PPRParker Washington52%WR198.72.418.5
Matthew Golden48%WR228.22.316.9
StandardParker Washington52%WR186.71.515.5
Matthew Golden48%WR256.11.414.0

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.