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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Start/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR

Matthew Golden or Romeo Doubs: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?

· Matthew Golden: GB vs CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Romeo Doubs: NE vs LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET

START MATTHEW GOLDENCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 5: Matthew Golden edges Romeo Doubs, outscoring him in 51.3% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (51%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Matthew Golden (p10 3.2). Need upside? Matthew Golden (p85 19.8).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRMatthew Golden51%WR2310.23.219.8
Romeo Doubs49%WR289.82.719.8
Half-PPRMatthew Golden51%WR228.22.316.9
Romeo Doubs49%WR248.02.017.0
StandardMatthew Golden51%WR256.11.414.0
Romeo Doubs49%WR236.11.214.4

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.