PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR
Malik Nabers or Matthew Golden: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Malik Nabers: NYG vs WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Matthew Golden: GB vs CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START MALIK NABERSCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Malik Nabers edges Matthew Golden, outscoring him in 51.7% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (51%) and standard (50%). Need a safe floor? Malik Nabers (p10 3.3). Need upside? Malik Nabers (p85 21.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Malik Nabers | 52% | WR20 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 21.0 |
| Matthew Golden | 48% | WR23 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 19.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Malik Nabers | 51% | WR20 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 17.8 |
| Matthew Golden | 49% | WR22 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 16.9 | |
| Standard | Malik Nabers | 50% | WR20 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 14.8 |
| Matthew Golden | 50% | WR25 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 14.0 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.