PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR
Khalil Shakir or Tre Tucker: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Khalil Shakir: BUF vs LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET · Tre Tucker: LV vs NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START KHALIL SHAKIRCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Khalil Shakir edges Tre Tucker, outscoring him in 53.9% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (53%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Khalil Shakir (p10 2.7). Need upside? Khalil Shakir (p85 18.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Khalil Shakir | 54% | WR31 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 18.5 |
| Tre Tucker | 46% | WR34 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 16.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Khalil Shakir | 53% | WR31 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 15.6 |
| Tre Tucker | 47% | WR34 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 14.1 | |
| Standard | Khalil Shakir | 52% | WR31 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 12.8 |
| Tre Tucker | 48% | WR33 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 11.5 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.