PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Jonathan Taylor or Chase Brown: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Jonathan Taylor: IND vs PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Chase Brown: CIN vs MIA, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START JONATHAN TAYLORCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Jonathan Taylor edges Chase Brown, outscoring him in 52.2% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (55%) and standard (58%). Need a safe floor? Jonathan Taylor (p10 7.2). Need upside? Jonathan Taylor (p85 26.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Jonathan Taylor | 52% | RB9 | 15.6 | 7.2 | 26.0 |
| Chase Brown | 48% | RB11 | 14.8 | 6.4 | 25.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Jonathan Taylor | 55% | RB9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 24.4 |
| Chase Brown | 45% | RB12 | 12.8 | 5.3 | 23.1 | |
| Standard | Jonathan Taylor | 58% | RB8 | 13.0 | 5.6 | 23.0 |
| Chase Brown | 42% | RB13 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 20.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.