PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
James Cook or Emanuel Wilson: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· James Cook: BUF vs LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET · Emanuel Wilson: SEA vs SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
START JAMES COOKCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: James Cook edges Emanuel Wilson, outscoring him in 54.4% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (54%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? James Cook (p10 6.7). Need upside? James Cook (p85 25.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | James Cook | 54% | RB12 | 14.5 | 6.7 | 25.0 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 46% | RB13 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 24.8 | |
| Half-PPR | James Cook | 54% | RB10 | 13.6 | 6.3 | 24.0 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 46% | RB13 | 12.6 | 4.7 | 24.0 | |
| Standard | James Cook | 54% | RB10 | 12.7 | 5.7 | 23.0 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 46% | RB11 | 11.9 | 4.3 | 23.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.