PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › QB
Jacoby Brissett or Bo Nix: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Jacoby Brissett: ARI vs DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Bo Nix: DEN vs LAC, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET
START JACOBY BRISSETTCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Jacoby Brissett edges Bo Nix, outscoring him in 50.7% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (51%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Jacoby Brissett (p10 8.6). Need upside? Jacoby Brissett (p85 26.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Jacoby Brissett | 51% | QB7 | 16.9 | 8.6 | 26.8 |
| Bo Nix | 49% | QB11 | 16.7 | 8.6 | 25.9 | |
| Half-PPR | Jacoby Brissett | 51% | QB7 | 16.9 | 8.6 | 26.8 |
| Bo Nix | 49% | QB11 | 16.7 | 8.6 | 25.9 | |
| Standard | Jacoby Brissett | 51% | QB7 | 16.9 | 8.6 | 26.8 |
| Bo Nix | 49% | QB11 | 16.7 | 8.6 | 25.9 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.