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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Start/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE

Hunter Henry or Oronde Gadsden II: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?

· Hunter Henry: NE vs LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Oronde Gadsden II: LAC vs DEN, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET

START HUNTER HENRYCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 5: Hunter Henry edges Oronde Gadsden II, outscoring him in 52.9% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (53%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Hunter Henry (p10 2.3). Need upside? Hunter Henry (p85 18.0).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRHunter Henry53%TE108.72.318.0
Oronde Gadsden II47%TE128.11.916.9
Half-PPRHunter Henry53%TE96.71.715.2
Oronde Gadsden II47%TE116.21.414.0
StandardHunter Henry52%TE94.60.912.3
Oronde Gadsden II48%TE124.20.811.2

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.