PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE
Hunter Henry or Brenton Strange: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Hunter Henry: NE vs LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Brenton Strange: JAC vs PHI, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET
START HUNTER HENRYCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Hunter Henry edges Brenton Strange, outscoring him in 52.5% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (52%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Hunter Henry (p10 2.3). Need upside? Hunter Henry (p85 18.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Hunter Henry | 52% | TE10 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 18.0 |
| Brenton Strange | 48% | TE11 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 17.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Hunter Henry | 52% | TE9 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 15.2 |
| Brenton Strange | 48% | TE12 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 14.2 | |
| Standard | Hunter Henry | 52% | TE9 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 12.3 |
| Brenton Strange | 48% | TE11 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 11.4 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.