PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE
George Kittle or Tucker Kraft: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· George Kittle: SF vs SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Tucker Kraft: GB vs CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START GEORGE KITTLECOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: George Kittle edges Tucker Kraft, outscoring him in 52.1% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (52%) and standard (53%). Need a safe floor? George Kittle (p10 3.7). Need upside? George Kittle (p85 21.7).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | George Kittle | 52% | TE4 | 11.2 | 3.7 | 21.7 |
| Tucker Kraft | 48% | TE6 | 10.8 | 3.5 | 20.4 | |
| Half-PPR | George Kittle | 52% | TE3 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 18.0 |
| Tucker Kraft | 48% | TE6 | 8.4 | 2.5 | 16.8 | |
| Standard | George Kittle | 53% | TE2 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 14.6 |
| Tucker Kraft | 47% | TE4 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 13.5 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.