PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR
DK Metcalf or Drake London: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· DK Metcalf: PIT vs IND, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Drake London: ATL vs BAL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET
START DK METCALFCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: DK Metcalf edges Drake London, outscoring him in 50.4% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: DK Metcalf (50%). Standard: Drake London (50%). Need a safe floor? DK Metcalf (p10 3.9). Need upside? Drake London (p85 22.7).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | DK Metcalf | 50% | WR16 | 11.7 | 3.9 | 22.5 |
| Drake London | 50% | WR17 | 11.5 | 3.6 | 22.7 | |
| Half-PPR | DK Metcalf | 50% | WR16 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 19.0 |
| Drake London | 50% | WR17 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 19.4 | |
| Standard | DK Metcalf | 50% | WR16 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 15.8 |
| Drake London | 50% | WR17 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 16.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.