PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR
Carnell Tate or Khalil Shakir: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Carnell Tate: TEN vs HOU, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Khalil Shakir: BUF vs LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
START CARNELL TATECOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Carnell Tate edges Khalil Shakir, outscoring him in 53.4% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (53%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Carnell Tate (p10 3.5). Need upside? Carnell Tate (p85 18.7).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Carnell Tate | 53% | WR27 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 18.7 |
| Khalil Shakir | 47% | WR31 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 18.5 | |
| Half-PPR | Carnell Tate | 53% | WR29 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 15.2 |
| Khalil Shakir | 47% | WR31 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 15.6 | |
| Standard | Carnell Tate | 52% | WR30 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 12.0 |
| Khalil Shakir | 48% | WR31 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 12.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.