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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Start/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB

Cam Skattebo or Bucky Irving: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?

· Cam Skattebo: NYG vs WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Bucky Irving: TB vs DAL, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET

START CAM SKATTEBOCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 5: Cam Skattebo edges Bucky Irving, outscoring him in 54.0% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (54%) and standard (53%). Need a safe floor? Cam Skattebo (p10 4.4). Need upside? Cam Skattebo (p85 20.9).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRCam Skattebo54%RB1711.54.420.9
Bucky Irving46%RB2110.43.819.6
Half-PPRCam Skattebo54%RB1710.54.019.6
Bucky Irving46%RB189.73.418.7
StandardCam Skattebo53%RB179.63.418.5
Bucky Irving47%RB189.03.017.7

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.