PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Bucky Irving or Rhamondre Stevenson: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Bucky Irving: TB vs DAL, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET · Rhamondre Stevenson: NE vs LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 5: Rhamondre Stevenson edges Bucky Irving, outscoring him in 51.5% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: Bucky Irving (51%). Standard: Bucky Irving (54%). Need a safe floor? Rhamondre Stevenson (p10 3.9). Need upside? Bucky Irving (p85 19.6).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Bucky Irving | 49% | RB21 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 19.6 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 52% | RB18 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 19.5 | |
| Half-PPR | Bucky Irving | 51% | RB18 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 18.7 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 49% | RB21 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 17.6 | |
| Standard | Bucky Irving | 54% | RB18 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 17.7 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 46% | RB25 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 15.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.