PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › QB
Brock Purdy or Tyler Shough: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Brock Purdy: SF vs SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Tyler Shough: NO vs MIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START TYLER SHOUGHCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Tyler Shough edges Brock Purdy, outscoring him in 51.4% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (51%) and standard (51%). Need a safe floor? Tyler Shough (p10 9.3). Need upside? Tyler Shough (p85 26.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Brock Purdy | 49% | QB10 | 16.9 | 9.1 | 25.9 |
| Tyler Shough | 51% | QB6 | 17.1 | 9.3 | 26.2 | |
| Half-PPR | Brock Purdy | 49% | QB10 | 16.9 | 9.1 | 25.9 |
| Tyler Shough | 51% | QB6 | 17.1 | 9.3 | 26.2 | |
| Standard | Brock Purdy | 49% | QB10 | 16.9 | 9.1 | 25.9 |
| Tyler Shough | 51% | QB6 | 17.1 | 9.3 | 26.2 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.