You're offline: this is a saved copy and its numbers may be out of date. Data last updated Oct 6, 12:26 AM ET.
21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER · Terms · Last updated Oct 6, 12:26 AM ET
EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Start/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE

Brock Bowers or Tucker Kraft: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?

· Brock Bowers: LV vs NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Tucker Kraft: GB vs CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET

START BROCK BOWERSCOIN FLIP

Coin flip in Week 5: Brock Bowers edges Tucker Kraft, outscoring him in 53.4% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (53%) and standard (53%). Need a safe floor? Brock Bowers (p10 4.0). Need upside? Brock Bowers (p85 22.0).

ScoringPlayerWins H2HRankMedianFloor p10Ceiling p85
PPRBrock Bowers53%TE211.74.022.0
Tucker Kraft47%TE610.83.520.4
Half-PPRBrock Bowers53%TE29.12.918.2
Tucker Kraft47%TE68.42.516.8
StandardBrock Bowers53%TE36.41.714.6
Tucker Kraft47%TE45.91.513.5

Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.

Get PropSims free

PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.