PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › TE
Brock Bowers or T.J. Hockenson: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Brock Bowers: LV vs NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · T.J. Hockenson: MIN vs NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START BROCK BOWERSCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Brock Bowers edges T.J. Hockenson, outscoring him in 50.7% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (52%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Brock Bowers (p10 4.0). Need upside? Brock Bowers (p85 22.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Brock Bowers | 51% | TE2 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 22.0 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 49% | TE5 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 21.3 | |
| Half-PPR | Brock Bowers | 52% | TE2 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 18.2 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 48% | TE5 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 17.3 | |
| Standard | Brock Bowers | 54% | TE3 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 14.6 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 46% | TE5 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 13.4 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.