PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Bijan Robinson or Jaylen Warren: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Bijan Robinson: ATL vs BAL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET · Jaylen Warren: PIT vs IND, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START BIJAN ROBINSON
Start Bijan Robinson over Jaylen Warren in Week 5 (PPR): he outscores him in 60% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in half-PPR (60%) and standard (60%). Need a safe floor? Bijan Robinson (p10 11.0). Need upside? Bijan Robinson (p85 34.1).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Bijan Robinson | 60% | RB2 | 21.4 | 11.0 | 34.1 |
| Jaylen Warren | 40% | RB3 | 17.9 | 8.5 | 29.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Bijan Robinson | 60% | RB1 | 19.6 | 9.7 | 32.0 |
| Jaylen Warren | 40% | RB3 | 16.2 | 7.5 | 27.8 | |
| Standard | Bijan Robinson | 60% | RB1 | 17.7 | 8.3 | 29.8 |
| Jaylen Warren | 40% | RB3 | 14.5 | 6.4 | 25.7 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.