PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Bhayshul Tuten or D'Andre Swift: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Bhayshul Tuten: JAC vs PHI, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET · D'Andre Swift: CHI vs GB, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 5: Bhayshul Tuten edges D'Andre Swift, outscoring him in 51.4% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: Bhayshul Tuten (51%). Standard: D'Andre Swift (50%). Need a safe floor? Bhayshul Tuten (p10 5.1). Need upside? Bhayshul Tuten (p85 22.1).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Bhayshul Tuten | 51% | RB15 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 22.1 |
| D'Andre Swift | 49% | RB16 | 12.0 | 4.7 | 22.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Bhayshul Tuten | 51% | RB14 | 11.5 | 4.7 | 21.2 |
| D'Andre Swift | 49% | RB16 | 11.4 | 4.4 | 21.3 | |
| Standard | Bhayshul Tuten | 50% | RB15 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 20.2 |
| D'Andre Swift | 50% | RB14 | 10.7 | 4.1 | 20.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.