PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Jonathan Taylor or Ashton Jeanty: who should I start in Week 4?
· Jonathan Taylor: IND vs WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET · Ashton Jeanty: LV vs KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Start Jonathan Taylor over Ashton Jeanty in Week 4 (half-PPR): he outscores him in 58% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in PPR (57%) and standard (59%). Need a safe floor? Jonathan Taylor (p10 6.6). Need upside? Jonathan Taylor (p85 26.2).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Jonathan Taylor | 57% | RB7 | 16.3 | 7.4 | 27.7 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 43% | RB11 | 14.2 | 5.7 | 25.1 | |
| Half-PPR | Jonathan Taylor | 58% | RB8 | 15.0 | 6.6 | 26.2 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 42% | RB11 | 12.7 | 4.8 | 23.4 | |
| Standard | Jonathan Taylor | 59% | RB7 | 13.7 | 5.8 | 24.7 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 41% | RB11 | 11.3 | 3.8 | 21.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.