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Pat Bryant doubtful for DEN vs SF: if he sits, Jaylen Waddle gains the most (10.0 to 10.8); play probability about 1%

By PropSims model, explained · Status change detected Oct 5, 2026, 12:58 PM CT · Published Oct 5, 2026, 12:58 PM CT

AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.

The Denver Broncos had a status update before facing SF (Oct 5, 2026, 12:58 PM CT). What the feeds showed:

• Pat Bryant (WR) was listed as doubtful (our model now treats him as out); he had been projected for 4.1 half-PPR points (median 3.1)

Fantasy outlook

• Pat Bryant (WR, doubtful): doubtful; had been projected 4.1 half-PPR (WR70). Verdict: out, do not start.

Half-PPR projection (mean of 10,000 sims) and weekly positional rank before and after this change. Verdicts use the same tiers as our start/sit page: top 12 QB/TE and top 24 RB/WR are starts, then flex range (QB 13-16, RB 25-32, WR 25-36, TE 13-16), otherwise bench. Rest-of-season impact not shown: our model projects one week at a time.

Who benefits

If he sits this week (our model already treats doubtful as out): (play probability about 1%) Half-PPR projection change vs the with-him baseline from our injury redistribution sims.

• Jaylen Waddle (WR): 10.0 → 10.8 half-PPR (+0.8). Usage: targets 7.2→7.8; catches 4.3→4.7; receiving yards 59.9→65.1; target share 22%→24%.
• Evan Engram (TE): 4.0 → 4.6 half-PPR (+0.6). Usage: targets 3.0→3.5; catches 2.0→2.3; receiving yards 19.5→23.1; target share 9%→10%.
• Courtland Sutton (WR): 8.0 → 8.5 half-PPR (+0.5). Usage: targets 5.7→6.1; target share 18%→19%.
• Troy Franklin (WR): 2.2 → 2.7 half-PPR (+0.5). Usage: targets 1.3→1.7; target share 4%→5%.

Rest of season

This looks like a short-term / one-week designation, so the rest-of-season impact is minimal.

Source: with/without own-model sims (4,000 games each; vacated usage redistributed by build_inputs_own). Numbers are half-PPR means from our own-model sims with vacated usage redistributed by the same injury rules we use in production. Model opinion, not advice. 21+.

Projection moves (full table)

If he sits, the biggest beneficiary is Jaylen Waddle (WR), whose half-PPR projection would move from 10.0 to 10.8 (+0.8); median 8.5 to 9.2, 85th-percentile outcome 17.1 to 17.8. Volume: targets 7.2 to 7.8 (mean); catches 4.3 to 4.7 (mean); receiving yards 59.9 to 65.1 (mean).

Moves smaller than 0.3 points are within simulation noise for this refresh (largest move on an unaffected team: 0.0) and are not listed unless a volume stat moved.

See the full DEN at SF game page and the Denver Broncos page for every projection, or the props board for current lines.

All news · Denver Broncos · DEN at SF · Model opinion, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.