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Denver Broncos Week 4 projections and player props
DEN at SF · Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · game page · opponent: San Francisco 49ers ·
The market implies 23.0 points for the Denver Broncos and 25.5 for San Francisco 49ers (median of 11 books). Our model projects Bo Nix (DEN vs SF) for a median 235 passing yards (FanDuel line 221.5; 10th-90th percentile 138-326) and 14 rushing yards (FanDuel line 16.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-45) in Week 4. Our model projects Jaylen Waddle (DEN vs SF) for a median 50 receiving yards (FanDuel line 56.5; 10th-90th percentile 13-119) and 4 receptions (FanDuel line 4.5; 10th-90th percentile 1-7) in Week 4.
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB4 | Bo Nix | SF | 17.6 | 9.2 | 26.8 | 17.6 | 17.6 | 235 passing yards, 14 rushing yards |
| WR23 | Jaylen Waddle | SF | 8.4 | 2.4 | 17.0 | 10.5 | 6.2 | 50 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| RB25 | J.K. Dobbins | SF | 8.2 | 3.0 | 16.9 | 8.7 | 7.7 | 50 rushing yards, 2 receiving yards |
| WR35 | Courtland Sutton | SF | 6.3 | 1.3 | 14.6 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 33 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB32 | RJ Harvey | SF | 5.8 | 1.3 | 12.6 | 7.5 | 4.1 | 11 rushing yards, 18 receiving yards |
| WR69 | Pat Bryant | SF | 3.1 | 0.0 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 2.2 | |
| TE38 | Evan Engram | SF | 2.7 | 0.0 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 14 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| TE48 | Nate Adkins (limited) | SF | 1.4 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | |
| WR100 | Troy Franklin (limited) | SF | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | |
| TE53 | Lucas Krull (limited) | SF | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | |
| RB75 | Tyler Badie (limited) | SF | 0.8 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | |
| RB100 | Cody Schrader (limited) | SF | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| QB33 | Jarrett Stidham (backup) | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR126 | Marvin Mims Jr. (limited) | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE64 | Adam Trautman (limited) | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR127 | Michael Bandy (limited) | SF | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board