PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Garrett Wilson or Jordan Addison: who should I start in Week 4?
· Garrett Wilson: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Jordan Addison: MIN vs MIA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Garrett Wilson edges Jordan Addison, outscoring him in 52.1% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Garrett Wilson (56%). Standard: Jordan Addison (53%). Need a safe floor? Garrett Wilson (p10 5.7). Need upside? Jordan Addison (p85 26.1).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Garrett Wilson | 56% | WR5 | 16.7 | 7.9 | 27.5 |
| Jordan Addison | 44% | WR8 | 14.4 | 4.4 | 29.2 | |
| Half-PPR | Garrett Wilson | 52% | WR5 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 22.1 |
| Jordan Addison | 48% | WR6 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 26.1 | |
| Standard | Garrett Wilson | 47% | WR10 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 16.9 |
| Jordan Addison | 53% | WR5 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 22.9 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.