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Noah Fant and Zach Wilson out for NO vs ATL: Devaughn Vele gains +0.7 points in our sims

By PropSims model, explained · Status change detected Oct 5, 2026, 6:09 PM CT · Published Oct 5, 2026, 6:16 PM CT

AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.

At Oct 5, 2026, 6:09 PM CT the injury feeds we track showed a change for the New Orleans Saints, so the model re-simulated their game against ATL:

• Noah Fant (TE) was ruled out; he had been projected for 3.3 PPR points (median 3.1)
• Zach Wilson was downgraded to out (he was not in our projected rotation, so nothing changes for him)

Fantasy outlook

• Noah Fant (TE, out): out; had been projected 3.3 PPR (TE41). Verdict: out, do not start.
• Devaughn Vele (WR): 8.2 → 8.9 PPR, WR46 → WR43. Verdict: bench.
• Chris Olave (WR): 16.2 → 16.8 PPR, WR10 → WR9. Verdict: a solid WR1 start.
• Alvin Kamara (RB): 10.8 → 11.4 PPR, RB22 → RB21. Verdict: a solid RB2 start.
• Bryce Lance (WR): 3.1 → 3.7 PPR, WR91 → WR83. Verdict: bench.

PPR projection (mean of 10,000 sims) and weekly positional rank before and after this change. Verdicts use the same tiers as our start/sit page: top 12 QB/TE and top 24 RB/WR are starts, then flex range (QB 13-16, RB 25-32, WR 25-36, TE 13-16), otherwise bench. Rest-of-season impact not shown: our model projects one week at a time.

Who benefits

With him out this week: Half-PPR projection change vs the with-him baseline from our injury redistribution sims.

• Devaughn Vele (WR): 8.2 → 8.9 half-PPR (+0.7).
• Chris Olave (WR): 16.2 → 16.8 half-PPR (+0.6).
• Alvin Kamara (RB): 10.8 → 11.4 half-PPR (+0.6). Usage: catches 1.8→2.1.
• Bryce Lance (WR): 3.1 → 3.7 half-PPR (+0.6).

Rest of season

This looks like a short-term / one-week designation, so the rest-of-season impact is minimal.

Source: live re-sim before/after (10,000 games). Numbers are half-PPR means from our own-model sims with vacated usage redistributed by the same injury rules we use in production. Model opinion, not advice. 21+.

Volume details from the re-sim

The biggest beneficiary is Devaughn Vele (WR), whose half-PPR projection moves from 8.2 to 8.9 (+0.7); median 6.9 to 7.3, 85th-percentile outcome 14.0 to 15.8.

Moves smaller than 0.3 points are within simulation noise for this refresh (largest move on an unaffected team: 0.2) and are not listed unless a volume stat moved.

See the full ATL at NO game page and the New Orleans Saints page for every projection, or the props board for current lines.

All news · New Orleans Saints · ATL at NO · Model opinion, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.