PropWeek 4 games › MIA at MIN
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings: Week 4 projections and props
Kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET ·
The market implies 14.2 points for MIA and 24.2 for MIN. Our model projects Malik Willis (MIA vs MIN) for a median 205 passing yards (FanDuel line 169.5; 10th-90th percentile 129-298) and 30 rushing yards (FanDuel line 29.5; 10th-90th percentile 7-59) in Week 4. Our model projects Aaron Jones Sr. (MIN vs MIA) for a median 75 rushing yards (FanDuel line 65.5; 10th-90th percentile 40-140) and 13 receiving yards (FanDuel line 19.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-41) in Week 4.
Miami Dolphins
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB24 | Malik Willis | MIN | 13.7 | 7.3 | 21.2 | 13.7 | 13.7 | 205 passing yards, 30 rushing yards |
| WR48 | Malik Washington | MIN | 5.4 | 1.9 | 10.8 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 26 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB36 | Ollie Gordon II | MIN | 5.1 | 1.1 | 11.7 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 25 rushing yards, 5 receiving yards |
| TE28 | Greg Dulcich | MIN | 3.3 | 0.0 | 9.2 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 18 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| WR70 | Chris Bell | MIN | 3.1 | 0.0 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 19 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| RB54 | Jaylen Wright | MIN | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 1.9 | |
| WR90 | Jalen Reagor (limited) | MIN | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 | |
| WR107 | Kevin Coleman Jr. (limited) | MIN | 0.8 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | |
| RB79 | DJ Herman (limited) | MIN | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | |
| RB86 | Jarquez Hunter (limited) | MIN | 0.6 | -0.1 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | |
| RB88 | Carlos Washington Jr. (limited) | MIN | 0.5 | -0.1 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | |
| WR139 | Jalen Tolbert (limited) | MIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE61 | Ryan Miller (limited) | MIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE66 | Will Kacmarek (limited) | MIN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Minnesota Vikings
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB6 | Aaron Jones Sr. | MIA | 16.1 | 6.7 | 28.5 | 17.4 | 14.8 | 75 rushing yards, 13 receiving yards |
| QB27 | Kyler Murray | MIA | 12.3 | 5.0 | 22.1 | 12.3 | 12.3 | 181 passing yards, 13 rushing yards |
| WR24 | Jordan Addison | MIA | 8.3 | 2.0 | 17.8 | 10.2 | 6.4 | 45 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| TE8 | T.J. Hockenson | MIA | 6.6 | 1.8 | 14.7 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 32 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR66 | Jauan Jennings | MIA | 3.3 | 0.0 | 8.4 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 17 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| WR86 | Tai Felton (limited) | MIA | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | |
| RB84 | Demond Claiborne (limited) | MIA | 0.6 | -0.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | |
| RB85 | DeeJay Dallas (limited) | MIA | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | |
| WR122 | Myles Price (limited) | MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE91 | Gavin Bartholomew (limited) | MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Both teams come from the same 10,000 simulations of this game, so player outcomes are correlated the way the game script makes them. Click a player for stat projections and prop lines.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All Week 4 games · Rankings · Props board