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Chicago Bears Week 4 projections and player props

NYJ at CHI · Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · game page · opponent: New York Jets · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

The market implies 23.2 points for the Chicago Bears and 19.8 for New York Jets (median of 11 books). Our model projects Tyson Bagent (CHI vs NYJ) for a median 205 passing yards (FanDuel line 199.5; 10th-90th percentile 108-311) and 2 rushing yards (FanDuel line 14.5; 10th-90th percentile -1-25) in Week 4. Our model projects D'Andre Swift (CHI vs NYJ) for a median 64 rushing yards (FanDuel line 63.5; 10th-90th percentile 32-123) and 7 receiving yards (FanDuel line 14.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-32) in Week 4.

Rank	Player	Opp	Half-PPR median	Floor p10	Ceiling p85	PPR median	Std median	Key stats (median)
QB26	Tyson Bagent	NYJ	12.7	5.4	22.1	12.7	12.7	205 passing yards, 2 rushing yards
RB14	D'Andre Swift	NYJ	12.1	4.9	22.2	12.8	11.3	64 rushing yards, 7 receiving yards
WR39	Luther Burden III	NYJ	6.0	1.2	13.9	7.6	4.1	31 receiving yards, 3 receptions
RB34	Kyle Monangai	NYJ	5.5	1.3	13.3	6.0	5.1	31 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards
WR52	Kalif Raymond	NYJ	4.9	1.5	11.0	6.4	3.4	26 receiving yards, 3 receptions
WR54	Rome Odunze	NYJ	4.6	0.0	10.9	5.8	3.4	25 receiving yards, 2 receptions
TE23	Colston Loveland	NYJ	3.7	0.6	10.6	5.0	2.4	19 receiving yards, 2 receptions
TE47	Cole Kmet (limited)	NYJ	1.5	0.0	3.2	2.0	1.0
RB78	Zavier Scott (limited)	NYJ	0.8	0.0	3.3	1.0	0.5
RB94	Salvon Ahmed (limited)	NYJ	0.2	0.0	1.7	0.2	0.1
QB36	Case Keenum (backup)	NYJ	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
QB37	Miller Moss (backup)	NYJ	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
WR143	Jahdae Walker (limited)	NYJ	0.0	0.0	1.1	0.0	0.0
TE68	Sam Roush (limited)	NYJ	0.0	0.0	1.7	0.0	0.0

Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.

Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board