What is Salvon Ahmed's floor and ceiling in Week 4?

Half-PPR: floor 0.0, median 0.2, ceiling 1.8. PPR: 0.0 / 0.2 / 2.1. Standard: 0.0 / 0.1 / 1.6. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations.

Players › RB › CHI

Should I start Salvon Ahmed in Week 4?

Week 4, 2026 · CHI vs NYJ · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

SIT Limited role

PropSims says sit Salvon Ahmed in Week 4 unless D'Andre Swift is out: as a limited-role RB his median is 0.2 half-PPR points, with a significant role in under 1% of our 10,000 simulations.

Scoring	Rank	Call	Median	Ceiling p85
PPR	RB101	Sit	0.2	2.1
Half-PPR	RB101	Sit	0.2	1.8
Standard	RB102	Sit	0.1	1.6

Game environment: CHI market-implied team total 23.2 vs 19.8 for NYJ (median of 11 books via The Odds API).

Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Jonathan Ward (RB99), Pierre Strong Jr. (RB100), Brock Lampe (RB102), Israel Abanikanda (RB103).

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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings