PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › TE
Kenyon Sadiq or Juwan Johnson: who should I start in Week 4?
· Kenyon Sadiq: NYJ vs CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Juwan Johnson: NO vs ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Start Kenyon Sadiq over Juwan Johnson in Week 4 (PPR): he outscores him in 56% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in half-PPR (56%) and standard (55%). Need a safe floor? Kenyon Sadiq (p10 2.4). Need upside? Kenyon Sadiq (p85 17.3).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Kenyon Sadiq | 56% | TE9 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 17.3 |
| Juwan Johnson | 44% | TE14 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 16.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Kenyon Sadiq | 56% | TE9 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 14.0 |
| Juwan Johnson | 44% | TE12 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 13.5 | |
| Standard | Kenyon Sadiq | 55% | TE8 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 11.0 |
| Juwan Johnson | 45% | TE13 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 11.1 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.