PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Jordan Addison or DJ Moore: who should I start in Week 4?
· Jordan Addison: MIN vs MIA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET · DJ Moore: BUF vs NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Jordan Addison edges DJ Moore, outscoring him in 54.5% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in PPR (55%) and standard (54%). Need a safe floor? Jordan Addison (p10 2.0). Need upside? Jordan Addison (p85 17.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Jordan Addison | 55% | WR24 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 20.5 |
| DJ Moore | 45% | WR27 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 18.9 | |
| Half-PPR | Jordan Addison | 55% | WR24 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 17.8 |
| DJ Moore | 45% | WR27 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 16.4 | |
| Standard | Jordan Addison | 54% | WR21 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 15.2 |
| DJ Moore | 46% | WR26 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 13.9 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.