PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › WR
Jaylen Waddle or Jordan Addison: who should I start in Week 4?
· Jaylen Waddle: DEN vs SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Jordan Addison: MIN vs MIA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Jaylen Waddle edges Jordan Addison, outscoring him in 50.7% of 10,000 simulated games (half-PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. PPR: Jaylen Waddle (51%). Standard: Jordan Addison (50%). Need a safe floor? Jaylen Waddle (p10 2.4). Need upside? Jordan Addison (p85 17.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Jaylen Waddle | 51% | WR23 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 20.1 |
| Jordan Addison | 49% | WR24 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 20.5 | |
| Half-PPR | Jaylen Waddle | 51% | WR23 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 17.0 |
| Jordan Addison | 49% | WR24 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 17.8 | |
| Standard | Jaylen Waddle | 50% | WR23 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 14.0 |
| Jordan Addison | 50% | WR21 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 15.2 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.