PropStart/Sit › Week 4 close calls › RB
Emanuel Wilson or Alvin Kamara: who should I start in Week 4?
· Emanuel Wilson: SEA vs LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Alvin Kamara: NO vs ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 4: Alvin Kamara edges Emanuel Wilson, outscoring him in 50.8% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: Emanuel Wilson (52%). Standard: Emanuel Wilson (56%). Need a safe floor? Alvin Kamara (p10 3.4). Need upside? Emanuel Wilson (p85 19.7).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 49% | RB22 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 19.7 |
| Alvin Kamara | 51% | RB21 | 9.9 | 3.4 | 18.9 | |
| Half-PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 52% | RB19 | 9.4 | 2.9 | 19.2 |
| Alvin Kamara | 48% | RB22 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 17.6 | |
| Standard | Emanuel Wilson | 56% | RB18 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 18.8 |
| Alvin Kamara | 44% | RB22 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 16.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Open in the Start/Sit assistant (add a 3rd or 4th player) →
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.