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Should I start Tetairoa McMillan in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · CAR vs DET · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Tetairoa McMillan WR16 in half-PPR for Week 4 (CAR vs DET): start in a 12-team league. Median 10.2 points, floor 2.9 (p10), ceiling 20.5 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR16 (median 12.4). Standard: WR15 (median 7.9).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR16 | Start | 12.4 | 4.0 | 23.8 |
| Half-PPR | WR16 | Start | 10.2 | 2.9 | 20.5 |
| Standard | WR15 | Start | 7.9 | 1.9 | 17.3 |
Game environment: CAR market-implied team total 23.8 vs 27.2 for DET (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 22% target share, 0% carry share, 86% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Tetairoa McMillan vs similar WRs
- Tetairoa McMillan or Nico Collins? Tetairoa McMillan outscores Nico Collins in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Tetairoa McMillan or Christian Watson? Tetairoa McMillan outscores Christian Watson in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Tetairoa McMillan or Drake London? Tetairoa McMillan outscores Drake London in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Tetairoa McMillan or Rashee Rice? Tetairoa McMillan outscores Rashee Rice in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Tetairoa McMillan or Kalif Raymond? Tetairoa McMillan outscores Kalif Raymond in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Christian Watson (WR14), Drake London (WR15), Rashee Rice (WR17), Kalif Raymond (WR18).
Compare Tetairoa McMillan with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings